Ah, well... another two Frog Tournaments have gone by, with the extremes in results.
In October, I had a rough run, in all poker in general... hit a cold spot for a few weeks in online tournaments, and it led up to a very sorry showing in the Frog game. I honestly can say it wasn't my play, but just some bad fortune with random odds... made all the right decisions, and just hit many bad beats on the hands that really counted. Then, in the Frog game, the most frustrating one yet: after barely half an hour of play, I held a full house, beatable by only two other very improbable potential hands. I bet strongly, over half my stack, as I'd rather just take the pot down that early in the game with low blinds rather than pull anyone out so early, but my wife reraised me all-in. I was placed in the position of having to make my wife spend potentially many hours for the rest of the evening waiting around, or folding out of the hand and fatally crippling my own chances. I wrongly chose the latter, finding out that I had her soundly beaten if I'd called (but again, I would have "lost" anyway, having taken my wife out of the game). It was very upsetting, and cost me the evening of sitting alone waiting; I made a clear pledge to myself after mulling it over for a few days that, due to the nature of poker, I have no more mercy whatsoever in my decision making, and if I have anyone beat, no matter who they are or how early it is, I am going to call it out and refuse to accept later grief about the consequences to them.
In November, I finally broke free of my bad streak and probability tilted back to normal, allowing my success in the online tournaments to resume. I've stayed relatively even, maintaining the same stake without outside deposit or withdrawl (remember, I play for fun and not for money - to me, that's a success). At the Frog game, I hit a very bad sequence of hold cards for the first several entire rounds, but I maintained the composure to play only the couple playable hands, and waited for real cards; my patience paid off, and I made it to the final two with Don, fairly evenly stacked. Now, he and I both know each other's play, including showdown style. He's a fairly loose and dangerous player, and will bet a partial stack with nearly any mid-quality hand or better. I'm a bizarre mix of tight standards and loose betting, only playing traditionally favored hands but betting them all in, usually before the flop, regardless of their comparative quality. It became pretty obvious fairly fast that when I went all in, Don would fold with anything but an especially fortunate winning hand, and he would generally take several blinds with partial-stack bets. If matched up next to each other, we would likely trade steals often for an almost indeterminate amount of time, making little progress in either direction, until we both had a monster pre-flop hand, in which case the results would truly have been a coin flip. Realizing that it was only 11:30 PM (nice and early for a showdown to be happening), I recognized that I was not feeling all that well and would just as soon go home earlier, and that calling one of Don's preflop raises with a midlevel hand of my own, then going all in immediately after (effectively in the dark) would produce the same coinflip. So that's what I did, and the hand was definitely a fair shot, which I lost, but won the chance to go home before midnight (and, for those keeping score, I did turn out to be in the beginning stages of a really rough illness, which I still haven't shaken to this moment - so it was a good choice, all in all).
The standings now, which I must indicate here because they aren't yet up on the Frog site, have Dustin at 8 points and myself at 7 points, again pulling away from the pack and duking it out for the top. I'm glad to be within a single game striking distance - it's sort of a "pacing myself" feeling. Most importantly, save that one ugly game with the misguided mercy fold, I've had a lot of fun with the games, and I'm glad that they feel relaxed again. Sadly, I don't think any arrangements were made for the next date, which could be not happening until after the holidays with how busy December is for most of us - and I know that Dustin will be pretty busy with his show opening at the end of January, so I'm worried about just when the next chance for a live game will be. There was some talk about doing a holiday tournament again, but we'll be in Yonkers visiting my grandparents for part of the holiday break, and I'm not sure if finances will allow a real-money casino trip at that time of year anyway. Perhaps I'll have to see about arranging a game at our place myself sometime in December, just a non-Frog for-fun night.
One closing thought: I've been playing a bit tonight as I've updated my blogs, and I've noticed again a phenomenon I've seen a few times over the past few weeks. A couple players seem to make fast decisions that are always perfect. They never raise the most carefully played trap, even when they have a monster hand of their own and have had no reason given them to suspect any hand at all in their opponent... they call bluffs with bluffs of their own just a card or two higher than the bluffer... they fold rather than check, and in retrospect one can see that they did so the moment a turn or river gave someone else the unbeatable hand... in short, they make decisions that are way too risky and always far too lucky with 100% success rates, never losing even one hand. I don't believe in mindreading nonsense, but I do believe in the inherent wickedness of many strangers around the world... and I have become sadly suspicious. I have occassionally seen spammers trying to advertise, before they get booted by security, software to cheat and view the hands of opponents. Most players write this off as scam myth technology, but I'm beginning to have my doubts. It's gotten so that, when I find myself in the room with one of these seemingly blesséd players, I loosen way up, waiting for extra strong hands to go all-in pre-flop, when any advantage they might have if such cheating exists can help them the least. I don't think I've caught anyone out yet, but at least I get out of that tournament relatively quickly and on to another table where one can actually play confident that it's an honest game. I do hope that this doesn't continue or get worse, as I particularly enjoy the platform company I play with, and don't wish to change to another for my fun.